Scenario Building

About the Course

This course will present you with a new methodology of looking at the future in the contexts you are deployed as a Field Coordinator. By doing this you will discover how you can prepare better to manage the security of your operations in highly volatile contexts that are subject to different contextual changes. 

The knowledge built in this course will enable you to have a thorough understanding about the benefits of Scenario Building and how you can do it in the most simple and effective way. Together with other existing resources on security management, the new methodology provided in this course will enable you to ensure the most efficient security and operations management.


WHO IS THIS COURSE FOR?

This course is directed at all MSF OCBA Field Coordinators and all staff that is on the way to get validated as one – it´s also available to anyone with interest in knowing more about this topic. 

Learning Objectives

At the end of this course, participants will be able to:

  • set up a base for successful Scenario Building;
  • create possible futures (mini-scenarios) within a given context;
  • build scenarios and develop and create appropriate preventive (and contingency) measures;
  • monitor context by applying Scenario Building methodology. 

List of Contents

Module 1 (LO1): Setting up the base for Scenario Building

Unit 1: Establishing effective Research Questions

Unit 2: Summarizing the context for Scenario Building

Module 2 (LO2): Collectively dissecting the Future 

Unit 1: Organize and facilitate workshop for joint discussion

Unit 2: Identification of Variables

Unit 3: Creating relevant assumptions

Unit 4: Drafting Mini-Scenarios 

Module 3 (LO3): Building Scenarios and Ensuring Preparedness;

Unit 1: Brainstorm and identification of Compounding Factors

Unit 2: Making estimations

Unit 3: Defining Preventive Measures and defining when to set-off contingencies; 

Module 4 (LO4): Applying Scenario Building to Context Monitoring

Unit 1: Creating Indicators and defining thresholds

Unit 2: Knowledge Management

Unit 3: Discuss, Report and Act!

TRAINING APPROACH

Methodological approach accompanied by a real-life case study exemplifying how this methodology should be put in place in your project. The course will guide you through the different stages and steps of a Scenario Building exercise while offering you both the advice of experienced MSFers as well as the suggested tools and job aides that will help you in achieving this.

EVALUATION

This course will have a continuous assessment approach through formative assessments. Throughout the different modules, learners will be asked to demonstrate and test their skills through different quizzes that once completed will enable access to the following module. By the end of the course the learner will be presented with a written assessment on the key processes of scenario building and their application to different real-life case studies.


CERTIFICATION

At the end of the course, you will receive a badge and a certificate. To achieve this certification, you must follow all the modules until the end – each module will be considered complete after successful completion of a final quiz.

If you did this course as part of your Field Coordinator Learning Path you are also requested to submit a final assessment at the end of the course – if you achieve a grade of 70/100 or higher you will be validated to participate in the regional workshops with other Field Coordinators.